Not the most shocking news in the world, but he said it and now Garland Barr IV can complain about it instead of running an effective campaign:
Turning to upcoming Kentucky races, in the 6th District, Ben Chandler is running against Andy Barr. What effect will the presidential race have on that race, and what effect might redistricting have?
It looks like the new redistricting plan in Kentucky was essentially an incumbent-protection map. As such, Chandler received some help from the new lines after having an extremely close call in 2010. If he managed to survive the 2010 GOP wave, it’s harder to see Chandler losing in a presidential year when turnout will be higher and when his district is centered around the fairly blue city (and college town) of Lexington.
We rate the seat as “Likely Democratic” at the moment, which means he’s favored to win re-election.
Sabato, the political analyst, goes on to predict a Yarmuth victory in KY-3 and a McConnell victory in 2014… unless Steve Beshear quits Frankfort for the big showdown.
Mr. Sabato will be speaking in Louisville on the 17th, if that’s your thang.
